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UniCredit raises investor reward goal after profit tops forecast
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The logo of Italian international banking group UniCredit stands on the facade of the group headquarters, located in the Porta Nuova district, as seen from the viewpoint of Palazzo Lombardia on September 29, 2023 in Milan, Italy. UniCredit raised on Tuesday its investor reward guidance for the year, after posting a much higher net income than expected and further boosting capital levels. Italy's second biggest bank said net profit for the January-March period was 2.6 billion euros ($2.8 billion), above the average of 2.13 billion forecast in a company-compiled analyst consensus. In the full year, net income is expected to be above 8.5 billion euros, it said, having previously guided for a 2024 net profit "broadly in line" with a 2023 result of 8.6 billion net of a tax asset writeup. UniCredit said it was raising its distribution guidance for 2024 to stand in line with 2023, when it paid out net profit to shareholders in full.
Persons: UniCredit, Andrea Orcel Organizations: UBS Locations: Porta Nuova, Lombardia, Milan, Italy, UniCredit
Starting Feb. 5, the People's Bank of China will allow banks to hold smaller cash reserves, central bank governor Pan Gongsheng said at a press conference, his first in the role. Cutting the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points is set to release 1 trillion yuan ($139.8 billion) in long-term capital, the central bank said. A 2 trillion yuan boost? Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Monday called for much stronger measures to boost market stability and confidence, according to an official readout. Chinese authorities in October already announced the issuance of 1 trillion yuan in government bonds, alongside a rare increase in the deficit.
Persons: Gongsheng, Pan Gongsheng, Tao Wang, Ting Lu, a, Lu, Wang, Stocks, Winnie Wu, That's, Li Qiang, Pan, Philip Yin, David Chao, Pan's Organizations: People's Bank of China, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Financial, Getty, Visual China, People's Bank of, UBS Investment Bank, Wednesday, National Financial Regulatory Administration, UBS, Bank of America's, Bloomberg, PBOC, Citi, U.S, Asia Pacific, CNBC Locations: BEIJING, CHINA, Beijing, China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Hong Kong, capitulating, Japan, Invesco
UBS is out with its 2024 outlook, and it expects some wild swings for markets next year. The Wall Street firm on Monday said it sees the S & P 500 ending next year at 4,850, roughly 5% above Monday's close of 4,622.44. Stocks have been on a tear recently, with the S & P 500 riding a six-week winning streak. "The large spread between current strength and expected weakness presents a dilemma for investors," Golub wrote Monday. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin said he anticipates the S & P 500 will end next year at 4,700 , just a stone's throw from where the broader index is currently trading.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, Stocks, Golub, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, UBS Investment Bank, Bank, America's
The phenomenon, known as a "golden cross," occurs when a stock's 50-day moving average share price rises above the longer-term 200-day moving average. It comes at a time when the S & P 500 has rallied by nearly 10% from a recent low, and charting analysts expect to see the index rise further . The stocks below are about to signal the golden cross pattern. Canadian stock Descartes Systems rose 7% on average in the month after the golden cross. The stock's price action has shown the golden cross forming seven times over the past decade.
Persons: Kevin Krishnaratne, David Weiss, Shagun Singh, Michael Werner, Hayley Tam Organizations: CNBC, Descartes Systems, Stryker Corporation, Deutsche, Nasdaq, Scotiabank, Stryker, RBC, UBS, CNBC Pro Locations: Canadian, Finland, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Singapore
Total Energies is one energy stock investors should own right now, according to Brian Arcese, portfolio manager at investment firm Foord Asset Management. Total shares are trading at a significant discount compared to shares of Exxon Mobil, Chevron Shell, and BP on a forward price-to-earnings ratio basis at 6.8x, according to FactSet data. While Total is not among the 10 largest investments in Arcese's fund, Foord Asset Management is an investor in the stock. Arcese told CNBC Pro Talks that around 15-20% of Foord's equity portfolio is allocated to commodity and energy stocks. Scotiabank analysts have a hold-equivalent rating on the U.S.-listed stock with a price target of $68, where the stock is currently trading.
Persons: Brian Arcese, Arcese, it's, We've, Morgan Stanley, Paul Cheng, TotalEnergies Organizations: Foord Asset Management, Fund, Exxon Mobil, Chevron Shell, BP, New, Foord, Management, CNBC, Singapore . Commodities, Equity, UBS, Scotiabank, RBC Capital Markets, RBC Locations: New York, Paris, Singapore, U.S, Foord
The explosive growth of Temu, the U.S. arm of Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo , could spell trouble for some major retailers, according to Bank of America. Just six months ago, Temu's sales were only 4% of Target's. The analysts say Temu's growth has been fueled by aggressive advertising using influencers, social media and search, with daily active users reaching 40% of Amazon's level. Retailers at risk The BofA analysts say retailers competing on price alone are particularly exposed to Temu's disruption. Separately, analysts at UBS investment bank also see Temu's growth in a similar vein.
Persons: Thomas Thornton, Kohl, Zara, Inditex, Pinduoduo, Lowe, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Consumers, of America's, Navy, Urban Outfitters, Walmart, Target, UBS, Costco Locations: Temu, U.S, United States, Swiss
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. economy could have 'a few negative quarters' next year, UBS' Arend Kapteyn saysArend Kapteyn, global chief economist of the UBS investment bank, discusses the likelihood of a recession in the U.S. and what this means for the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Arend Kapteyn Organizations: U.S, UBS, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrong data could put November rate hike on the table for FOMC, says UBS' Jonathan PingleJonathan Pingle, chief U.S. economist at UBS Investment Bank, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what the markets need to see to calm down bond yields, what Friday's jobs report will do to bonds, and what's now presenting a problem for the bond market.
Persons: Jonathan Pingle Jonathan Pingle, what's Organizations: UBS, UBS Investment Bank
Greg Baker | Afp | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Without more stimulus, China is increasingly likely to miss its growth target of around 5% this year, economists said. "In such a case, economic momentum may stay subdued in the rest of the year and China may miss this year's growth target of around 5%," she said. China is the world's second-largest economy, and accounted for nearly 18% of global GDP in 2022, according to World Bank data. "We also see bigger downside risk to our 4.9% y-o-y growth forecast for both Q3 and Q4, and it is increasingly possible that annual GDP growth this year will miss the 5.0% mark," the report said. Growth vs. national securityChinese authorities' initial crackdown on real estate developers in 2020 was an attempt to curb their high reliance on growth.
Persons: Greg Baker, Tao Wang, spender, Nomura Ting Lu, Ting Lu, haven't, Louise Loo, Loo, that's, Xiangrong Yu, Gabriel Wildau, Teneo, Wildau Organizations: Afp, Getty, UBS Investment Bank, Bank, China, People's Bank of, Oxford Economics, Zhongrong International Trust, Information, Beijing, CNBC, Baoshang Bank, Anbang Locations: Beijing, BEIJING, China, Asia, People's Bank of China
The 0.2% fall month-on-month came after June's flat reading, according to Reuters calculations based on National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data. The decline in home prices comes amid a worsening debt crisis at major developers, sliding property investment and home sales. Among 70 cities, 49 saw a fall in new home prices month-on-month in July from 38 cities the previous month. However, most economists expect the downside trend in home sales and prices to persist for while. "Without additional major policy easing and/or fiscal support, property sales and investment may weaken further or stay at the bottom for longer than assumed in our baseline," said Wang.
Persons: Jason Lee, Goldman Sachs, Wang Tao, Wang, Qiaoyi Li, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, National Bureau of Statistics, Goldman, Asia Economics, China, UBS Investment Bank, Thomson Locations: Wangjing, China, BEIJING, Zhengzhou, Xian, Fuzhou
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Wells Fargo's Christopher Harvey and UBS' Jonathan PingleChris Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities head of equity strategy, and Jonathan Pingle, chief U.S. economist at UBS Investment Bank, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what the latest Federal Reserve headlines mean for markets and the economy, when equity volatility will wane, and much more.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Christopher Harvey, Jonathan Pingle Chris Harvey, Jonathan Pingle Organizations: UBS, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, UBS Investment Bank, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThursday's CPI print will be another bit of good news for the Fed, says UBS' Jonathan PingleChris Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities head of equity strategy, and Jonathan Pingle, chief U.S. economist at UBS Investment Bank, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what the latest Federal Reserve headlines mean for markets and the economy, when equity volatility will wane, and much more.
Persons: Jonathan Pingle Chris Harvey, Jonathan Pingle Organizations: UBS, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, UBS Investment Bank, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo
But UBS analysts are expecting that global equity valuations will sell off later this year. Stocks may be riding the ongoing bull rally back to all-time highs, but that doesn't mean Wall Street's fears of an economic downturn have completely dissipated. In fact, even prominent investors such as Evercore founder Roger Altman have called for a recession by the end of 2023. And according to analysts at UBS investment bank, a potential market sell-off wouldn't be solely concentrated in the technology sector. In the note, Baweja and his team also shared nine "essential" charts showing why they expect equities to sell off this year.
Persons: Roger Altman, Joe Mazzola — Charles Schwab's, , Bhano Baweja, Baweja Organizations: UBS
(Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesGoldman Sachs became the latest Wall Street bank to downgrade its growth forecast for China, as the world's second-largest economy stutters and loses momentum after its coronavirus reopening. "With the reopening boost quickly fading, medium-term challenges such as demographics, the multi-year property downturn, local government implicit debt problems, and geopolitical tensions may start to become more important in China's growth outlook," they said. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconUBS also sees continued weakness in China's economy ahead, particularly focusing on the second quarter of the year. Wang noted that uncertainty in China's property sector remains a central risk to its forecast and could bring its growth outlook even lower. "Risks to our forecast is slightly biased towards the downside, mainly from uncertainties in property market and path of property policy support ahead, as well as weaker external demand," she said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Chief China Economist Hui Shan, Wang Tao, Wang Organizations: Getty, Nurphoto, Chief China Economist, UBS, Bank of America, JPMorgan, U.S, People's Bank of, Federal, UBS Investment Bank's Locations: Nanjing, East China's Jiangsu Province, China, People's Bank of China, saar
Citadel accelerates hiring push in Hong Kong and London
  + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Summer Zhen | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
HONG KONG, March 17 (Reuters) - Miami-based Citadel has kicked off 2023 with multiple senior hires in London and Hong Kong to beef up its international equities team, after the firm became the world's most profitable hedge fund in 2022, profile updates on LinkedIn show. He previously worked as head of Asian Research of Florida-based hedge fund giant Lighthouse for more than seven years. After working for UBS investment bank for more than 16 years, Keith Donan also moved to Citadel in Hong Kong this month as a senior trader. Citadel's international equities team is a multi-manager business focusing on opportunities in Europe and Asia. Led by Sean Salji in London, the team has over 80 investment professionals in London, Hong Kong, Singapore and Paris.
Oil lower on firm dollar, market shrugs off Russian supply cuts
  + stars: | 2023-02-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Oil storage tanks stand at the RN-Tuapsinsky refinery, operated by Rosneft Oil Co., at night in Tuapse, Russia. Oil prices inched lower in volatile trade on Monday, as a stronger dollar and fears of recession risks offset gains arising from Russia's plans to deepen oil supply cuts. A firm dollar makes commodities priced in the U.S. currency more expensive for holders of other currencies. Adding to the downside pressure, U.S. crude oil inventories surged to the highest level since May 2021 last week, data from the Energy Information Administration showed. Oil prices have fallen by about a sixth in the year since Feb. 24, 2022, when Russian troops first marched into Ukraine.
UniCredit may hike CEO's pay by up to 40% - newspaper
  + stars: | 2023-02-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
MILAN, Feb 25 (Reuters) - UniCredit is considering a pay rise of between 20% and 40% for Chief Executive Andrea Orcel, Italian daily Il Sole 24 Ore reported on Saturday, citing market sources. Orcel's pay package would rise to 9.0-10.5 million euros ($9.5-11.1 billion) from 7.5 million euros at present. On his arrival at UniCredit in April 2021, Orcel narrowly dodged a shareholder revolt over his pay, which is double that of his predecessor. Orcel has focused UniCredit on businesses that maximise returns in relation to the capital allocated to such activities, in order to boost investor rewards through dividends and share buybacks. ($1 = 0.9482 euros)Reporting by Valentina Za Editing by Mark PotterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken said it named CJ Rinaldi as its new chief compliance officer, hiring him from rival Blockchain.com, as it continues to revamp its compliance program after a sanctions violation settlement amid increasing regulatory scrutiny of the crypto sector. Mr. Rinaldi most recently served as Blockchain.com’s chief compliance officer for about a year, where he implemented global compliance frameworks and mitigated compliance risks. Newsletter Sign-up WSJ | Risk and Compliance Journal Our Morning Risk Report features insights and news on governance, risk and compliance. As part of the agreement, Kraken will invest $100,000 in its sanctions compliance controls, which include training and technical measures. Kraken also hired a new chief financial officer and new chief marketing officer last year.
Barry Silbert is the CEO of Digital Currency Group, the crypto conglomerate that owns Genesis and Grayscale. In 2015, the 46 year old started Digital Currency Group (DCG), the $10 billion parent company that controls industry giants like crypto brokerage Genesis and digital asset manager Grayscale. The conglomerate also owns trade publication Coindesk, crypto mining firm Foundry Services, crypto index provider TradeBlock, and digital asset platform Luno Global. Cameron Winklevoss blasted Silbert for "bad faith" business practices last week, alleging the crypto baron owes the digital asset exchange's customers $900 million. Prior to launching DCG, Silbert went to Emory University's Goizueta Business School and began his career as an investment banker at Houlihan Lokey.
Global economic conditions will shift next year and that's going to flip which markets and sectors underperform, according to the chief strategist of UBS Investment Bank. Bhanu Baweja told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Wednesday that between one-third and half of the countries the bank covers globally are facing a recession. "It's an inch deep but it's a mile wide," he said of the expected recession. "Global growth is at 2% and that is not priced into stocks." Baweja pointed to the S & P 500 's underperformance this year so far, down 15.5%, relative to Europe's Stoxx 600 's 9.6% fall.
The plan comes as the cash-strapped sector has struggled with defaults and stalled projects, hitting market confidence and weighing on the world's second-largest economy. Policymakers' previous efforts to help financing has done little to bolster the property market. The Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index (.HSMPI) jumped 16.2%, with the share prices of many Chinese property developers posting double-digit gains. The notice "introduced by far the most comprehensive set of support measures for the ailing property market," it said. Some investors remained cautious about the impact of the latest policy, however, as regulators have already made many attempts to revive the property sector and the macro environment remains weak amid the country's COVID restrictions.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSee U.S. markets flat, if not down slightly following midterms, predicts UBS analystMark Andersen, head of global asset allocation at UBS Investment Bank, gives his outlook for U.S. markets following the tight midterm elections.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: U.S. midterm results unlikely to have material impact on our economic outlookJonathan Pingle, chief U.S. economist at UBS Investment Bank, weighs in on the U.S. midterm elections and his outlook for the economy going forward.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt'll be difficult for Europe to attract LNG if China's energy demand rebounds, economistReinhard Cluse, chief eurozone economist at UBS Investment Bank, says China hasn't been consuming as much energy as it used to, which has allowed Europe to direct global LNG glows from Asia toward Europe.
UniCredit ups 2022 profit goal after Q3 earnings beat
  + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( Valentina Za | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
MILAN, Oct 26 (Reuters) - Italy's No.2 bank UniCredit (CRDI.MI) on Wednesday raised its 2022 profit goal above 4.8 billion euros ($4.8 billion), helped by higher interest rates and lower loan loss provisions that also drove quarterly earnings above forecasts. UniCredit posted a profit for July-September of 1.71 billion euros, well above analysts' consensus forecast of 1.00 billion euros provided by the bank. UniCredit had already improved its 2022 guidance in July, indicating a net profit target of around 4 billion euros. Quarterly earnings were also boosted by much higher than expected trading income, which UniCredit said had been helped by companies' demand for hedging products. The erosion reflects a second share buyback UniCredit is carrying out as it hits a goal of returning 3.75 billion euros of last year's earnings to shareholders.
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